July 2 2017 UPDATE. Today Topher Spiro tweeted:
1: ALERT: McConnell just sent a revised bill to CBO. They’re close to a deal. This is CODE RED.
…and included a link to this Axios story:
Here also relevant text from a Topher Spiro tweetstorm from the same day:
Vote expected in mid-July. Republican staff reportedly told lobbyists “The store is open”—meaning they think they can buy off moderates.
If these moderates don’t feel the heat over recess, guess what? They’ll cave in no time. Remember how weak Cassidy was? [He means Bill Cassidy of Louisiana]
This revised bill is probably McConnell’s last shot. He has no time for CBO to score one after this. EVERYTHING RIDES ON THIS.
Happy Fourth! Protesting Trumpcare this week is the pinnacle of democracy and patriotism.
MORAN—who is currently a no—is the only Senator holding town halls. SPREAD THE WORD.
HELLER is perhaps the most important vote.
In addition, Matthew Yglesias tweeted on July 2:
This moment when the bill is “dead” and there’s “no news” to cover is the most dangerous time for Trumpcare opponents.
This past week GOP Senators were barraged with stories about devastating Medicare cuts. By the time a new draft is done that’ll be old news.
It’s even possible the “news” in the new bill will include scaling the Medicaid cuts back to “only” House bill levels.
Then a vote could materialize in two or three days with little time to remobilize people.
The larger point is the AHCA is not dead yet. This horror movie is not over. Call your senators. Keep the pressure up.
It’s especially important to call if any of these people are your senators:
Susan Collins of Maine
Lisa Murkowski of Alaska
Rob Portman of Ohio
Shelley Moore Capito of West Virginia
Cory Gardner of Colorado
Dean Heller of Nevada
Bill Cassidy of Louisiana
Jeff Flake of Arizona (but wish him condolences–his father died June 26)
Dan Sullivan of Arkansas
Bob Corker of Tennessee
Lamar Alexander of Tennessee
Richard Shelby of Alabama
Luther Strange of Alabama
Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania
Ron Johnson of Wisconsin
See https://trumpcaretoolkit.org for phone numbers and tweetable statistics about health care coverage loss in these senators’ states.
If your senators are solid Dems, call and thank them for standing firm against the AHCA.
If your senators are Republicans, call call call call call. Find out which July 4 events they might attend in your community and show up with protest signs.
And urge your friends all over the country to do the same. Please.
EARLY JULY UPDATE. The AHCA is not dead yet. Mitch McConnell, Trump, and his minions want to get something, anything through.
Do not let up. Call. Email. Fax. And keep enlisting your friends all over the country to do the same. Do it today and every day until we at OYTCD say it’s OK to stop.
As with last week, we’ve cleared the decks to devote fresh/updated posts to fighting the AHCA, because it’s that important.
ANOTHER JUNE 2017 UPDATE. It’s the last week of June. The Senate version of the AHCA has been released. It’s terrible. Republican senators are wavering. This is our last best chance to kill the bill.
For this reason we have cleared the OTYCD decks for the week and we’re reposting recent calls to action on the AHCA. It’s that important.
Call your Dem Senators, thank them for standing strong against the AHCA, and tell them you have their backs if they play hardball.
Call your Republican senators and tell them you will spend time and money getting their opponents elected if they vote yes on the AHCA. And mean it. Be ready to uphold your pledge.
Call your friends and tell them to call and oppose the AHCA. All this week. Please.
IMPORTANT RED ALERT UPDATE for June 2017. Mitch McConnell has invoked Rule 14, which fast-tracks the AHCA in the Senate. Their aim is to pass something before the July 4 recess. The best time to stop this wretched bill is now. If it gets back to the house, something like it gets passed.
We know you’ve called your reps over and over on this, and this isn’t the first time we’ve asked you to take to the phone.But you now need to call your Senators, daily, AND urge your red state friends to call their Republican senators, daily, on this, through the end of June. The AHCA is literally life and death for many. Please make this effort.
IMPORTANT RED ALERT UPDATE May 26. Ok all, see this May 25 tweet from Topher Spiro, who writes often on health care issues and tweets as @TopherSpiro:
INTEL: Several GOP Senators have privately said this recess is the test – if they get blowback at home, they’ll tell McConnell it’s over.
We know you’ve called your reps over and over on this. Now it’s time to call your Senators, daily, AND urge your red state friends to call their Republican senators, daily, on this. The AHCA is literally life and death for many. Please make this effort.
Pull out your address book. Identify how many friends you have in red states. Recruit them to call their members of Congress.
In the past, OTYCD has asked you to call friends and family in red states to urge their Republican MoCs to vote against cabinet nominees and legislation. Today, we’re asking you to take some time to sit with your address book, identify who your friends are in red states, and see who among them you can call, email, or nudge on social media to push back against nasty things the Republicans are trying to do.
Living in a solidly blue state is a double-edged sword. Your MoCs agree with you, but it’s the Republicans who own everything at the moment. Republican MoCs in other districts and states won’t listen to you (and rightly so) because they need to concentrate on their own constituents.
The next-best thing you can do, once you’ve done what you can do directly, is urge friends in red states to call their MoCs and speak out.
So, step one: Pull out your address book, or Christmas card list, or whatever database or master list you keep of friends and their contact info. Ideally, this info includes street addresses.
Step two: Identify who lives in red states.
Step three: Rank the red staters in order of how strong your relationship is.
Step four: Now, think. Who have you talked about politics with on this list? How did it go? Reshuffle the list to move those who share your politics, and those who may not share your politics but who seem sane and like to talk politics with you, toward the top of the list.
Those with strong bonds and who share your politics should be on top, followed by those with strong bonds who show an interest in politics, but who might not always agree with you 100 percent. Then come the people with more distant relationships but who share your politics, followed by more distant relationships with politically aware people who seem sane.
Also, be alert to sharp exceptions. You might have someone in your orbit who’s largely apolitical except on a specific issue that damn near consumes them. Many mothers of school-age kids who didn’t care about politics or were only mildly interested got pretty damn interested right quick when Betsy DeVos was nominated to run the department of education.
Sift these single-issue red state folks out and rank them below the broader-interest folks. If you agree with their outlook on their single issue, make a point of engaging with them on that issue alone and sharing action items that would interest them.
Step five: Look at the first group–the people you have strong bonds with and who you share the same political outlook with. How often are you talking to them? Can you invest more time in them? These are the people you want to cultivate first.
And when we say ‘invest more time in them,’ we mean overall. Do NOT make it all about politics! Work on maintaining and strengthening your bond first and foremost. Use the 80/20 rule that social media mavens tout: For every action that serves your goals (in this case, urging your friend to call their Republican MoCs), perform at least four other actions that have nothing to do with your goals. (Bonus points if most or all are in service of your friend. At least half of the four should be.)
Once you feel like you have things humming along with the first group (and take as much time as you need to reach that point–never rush it!), then turn to the second group: the people you have strong bonds with, but who you don’t really talk politics with.
In the course of strengthening and maintaining your bonds with them, try dropping mentions of how you feel about something that the Republicans are trying to do. Don’t be angry, do be factual, and make it clear that you are stating an opinion.
Pay attention to how they react. Stick to the 80/20 rule. Keep watching how they react. If they show a pattern of changing the subject, showing annoyance, or actively shutting down, lay off for a few months and try again. If they ultimately ask you to quit it forever, then quit it forever. It’s more important to show that you’re able to listen to them and honor their requests.
If they show a pattern of reacting positively or even neutrally, stay alert to political events that are happening locally that they might like, and encourage them to go. Maybe it’s a Town Hall meeting with an MoC. Maybe it’s a protest. Maybe it’s giving them a ride to the polls. Think about what they would like best, tell them about it, and if you live close enough, offer to go with them.
Future posts will elaborate on cultivating the more distant red state friends and family on your list. But overall, remember:
Friendship comes first. If you wouldn’t want to invest time in this person if they lived in a blue state, then don’t bother. Just don’t. Don’t treat fellow human beings like a 10-point buck you’re dying to bag and mount on your wall. People can smell that crap a mile away.
Remember the 80/20 rule. For every time you talk about politics or ask them to do something political, you should be doing at least four other things that aren’t about politics, and at least two of those four should be things your friend enjoys.
If they complain that you’re talking about politics too much, back off. Again, see points one and two above. Don’t completely stop talking about politics, mind you, if talking politics is part of who you are. But listen to your friend, give it a rest for a time, and keep your talk to venting rather than you asking them to do something.
This is soft activism, and no form of activism yields results overnight. This is gardening. This is exercise. It takes time. Remind yourself that it takes time, and that it may not pay off as spectacularly as you hope it will. But you will have succeeded in deepening a relationship with another person who you care about, and you will have gotten them to think about and care about making a difference. That’s worth it. That’s always worth it.