Check these Ballotpedia links and see if you live in a Pivot County–an area that voted for Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012 and voted for Donald Trump in 2016.
Ballotpedia, a website that comprehensively covers candidates and races at the local, state, and federal levels in America, has identified 206 “pivot counties” in 34 states.
On average, Obama won these counties with an average margin of victory of 12.23 percent in 2008 and 8.22 percent in 2012 before Trump won them with an average margin of victory of 11.43 in 2016.
Are any of these counties near you?
The Obama-Obama-Trump voting pattern indicates areas that could tilt back toward the Democrats in 2018 and later elections.
Ballotpedia notes that 19 states with a Democratic or Independent sitting senator running for re-election in 2018 have at least one Pivot County within their borders.
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See Ballotpedia’s list of the 206 Pivot Counties:
https://ballotpedia.org/List_of_Pivot_Counties_-_the_206_counties_that_voted_Obama-Obama-Trump
Here are the list of counties by state:
https://ballotpedia.org/Pivot_Counties_by_state
Here’s how the Pivot Counties overlap with Congressional districts (this is the entry that notes that 19 incumbent Democratic or Independent Senators come from states that have at least one Pivot County):
Learn about the Pivot Counties’ historic voting patterns:
See the Ballotpedia home page:
https://ballotpedia.org/Main_Page
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