Choose Your Core Four · Community Activism · Elections · Use Your Power, Recruit Friends

Believe It, You Matter, Part VIII: No Matter What the Polls Say, Act Like Your Candidates Are Ten Points Behind

No matter what the polls say, always act like your candidates are ten points behind.

 

If you’ve been watching the polls on “generic Democratic Congressional candidates” vs the GOP, you know that they’ve been all over the place–sometimes giving the Dems a huge lead, sometimes showing the GOP closing the gap.

 

Ignore those polls.

 

Ok, let’s be more specific. No matter what’s happening with the polls, always act like the candidates you’re supporting are ten points behind. Even if they’re not.

 

2018 promises to be the most consequential midterm election in several decades, and possibly the most consequential since midterms began.

 

You need to focus and stay focused on your candidates. (You’re using the Core Four technique, yes?)

 

Keep talking to friends and family about them. Keep volunteering for them. Keep donating to them regularly (small sums given monthly are better than a big lump sum given once). Keep boosting them on social media.

 

Stick to your schedule of self-imposed breaks. Burnout is a thing. We need you. Yes, things are bad and this election is crucial, but still, don’t try to do everything all the time or you won’t be able to do anything.

 

And! Keep talking to friends and family about voting, and make sure everyone you know is registered to vote, knows where the polling place is, and knows how they’re getting there on the day.

 

Polls say many things. Don’t be lulled into complacency if your candidates are doing well.  Keep putting in the same amount of time, money, and effort that you’ve put in all along, and encourage everyone you know who’s game to do more than show up and vote to do whatever else they’re willing to do, whatever that is.

 

Stay strong. Stay steady. Stay focused.

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Learn to Help Friends and Family Who Want to Do More Than Register to Vote

Learn to help friends and family who want to do more than just register to vote.

 

Sarah Jane here. We at OTYCD have encouraged you to talk to friends and family about voting, and make it as easy and as painless as possible for them to register, learn where their polling place is, and plot how they will physically get to the polls on Tuesday, November 6, 2018.

 

But what if they ask you about doing more than that? What if they’re excited, or concerned, or both about the direction the country is threatening to take, and they want to go beyond making sure they themselves are registered to vote?

 

May we humbly suggest you send them to this very blog?

 

 

Start by sending them to our page on The Most Important Thing You Can Do (we cheated, there’s actually four):

https://onethingyoucando.com/the-most-important-thing-you-can-do/

 

 

Also suggest they read the third entry in the Believe It: You Matter series, The Parable of Eating Less Meat. It’s about how activism is not a competition, and everything counts.

If you went from doing nothing to doing something, and you do that something consistently, you win. Doesn’t matter how big or small the something is.

Read Believe It: You Matter, Part III: The Parable Of Eating Less Meat:

https://onethingyoucando.com/2018/04/16/believe-it-you-matter-part-iii-the-parable-of-eating-less-meat/

 

 

And if you want to suggest that they subscribe to the blog, we won’t stop you.

 

 

Also encourage them to visit postcardstovoters.org and volunteer to write Get Out The Vote (GOTV) postcards, using their own supplies.

 

Of all the things I (Sarah Jane) have done to push back against Trump since November 2016, writing postcards to voters has been the most satisfying.

 

I can write postcards anytime Tony the Democrat and friends have a campaign going, which is almost always. (The few times when they’re between campaigns, I prep postcards for future campaigns by decorating them with rubber stamps.)

 

Writing postcards to voters doesn’t require knocking on doors, calling people, or otherwise approaching strangers, which is terrifying to an introvert like me.

 

Let’s be clear, though. I do all that stuff, too, and I recommend it, but writing postcards to voters is something I can do whenever I want, for as long as I want, and I can set it aside if need be. I call it my civic knitting–each postcard is a stitch that strengthens democracy.

 

Also? New research shows that hand-writing postcards to voters is just as effective at getting out the vote as canvassing (physically knocking on doors), and sometimes more effective.

 

For more, see this June 22, 2018 piece from Blue Virginia called The Mighty Pen Prevails: In the Digital Age, Handwritten Voter Contact Is a Powerful Secret Weapon:

https://bluevirginia.us/2018/06/the-mighty-pen-prevails-in-the-digital-age-handwritten-voter-contact-is-a-powerful-secret-weapon

 

 

If your friends and family are open to supporting candidates, point them to the OTYCD post on the Core Four Strategy:

https://onethingyoucando.com/2018/04/08/choose-your-core-four-for-2018/

 

 

Helping eager friends and family learn who’s running for election and re-election in 2018 and find candidates to support is pretty next-level, but if you have the time and energy to do it, we at OTYCD encourage you to follow through.

 

 

 

 

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Check Out Bluewave Crowdsource, Which Encourages and Promotes Democratic Candidates Across the Country

Check out Bluewave Crowdsource, which encourages and promotes Democratic candidates across the country.

 

One of the most obvious failings of the Democratic Party is its hesitance to run candidates everywhere, for every elected race, regardless of whether the area is considered “red” or “blue.”

 

Many left-leaning, liberal, and progressive folks are annoyed with this. Even if the reason is good (such as not having enough money to support every race, everywhere), it looks bad. If there’s no Democratic candidate to vote for, people won’t vote Democratic. Seems self-evident, but hey, you’ve got to be in it to win it even if you realistically have no chance to win it. Putting in the effort of putting forward a candidate matters.

 

Bluewave Crowdsource is doing what the Democratic Party is not. Well, some of it, anyway. It researches, selects, and promotes Democrats who are running for Congress, for governorships, for state legislatures, and for other elected offices.

 

Bluewave Crowdsource limits itself to one candidate per district, state, or seat ahead of the primaries, and gets behind the Democratic primary victor, whoever that person is. It also spotlights one candidate per day from its roster.

 

We at OTYCD can vouch for the strength of the Bluewave Crowdsource roster. It has chosen more than 20 people we’ve devoted posts to, including DD Adams, who’s running for a House of Representatives seat in North Carolina; Jana Lynne Sanchez, running for a House seat in Texas; Marge Doyle, who’s campaigning to win a House seat in California; Stacey Abrams, who’s aiming to become governor of Georgia; and Jacky Rosen, who’s trying to unseat Republican Senator Dean Heller in Nevada.

 

 

See the Bluewave Crowdsource website:

https://bluewavecrowdsource.com

 

 

See its About page:

https://bluewavecrowdsource.com/about-bluewave

 

 

See its Candidates database:

https://bluewavecrowdsource.com/candidates

 

 

Volunteer for Bluewave Crowdsource:

https://bluewavecrowdsource.com/volunteers

 

 

See its Resources page, which, yay!, includes Postcards to Voters:

https://bluewavecrowdsource.com/resources

 

 

Donate to Bluewave Crowdsource:

https://secure.actblue.com/donate/bwcs

 

 

Subscribe to One Thing You Can Do by clicking the button on the upper right of the page. And tell your friends about the blog!

 

 

Follow it on Twitter:

@BlueWaveCS

 

 

Follow Bluewave Crowdsource founder Holly Figueroa O’Reilly on Twitter:

@AynRandPaulRyan

 

 

Follow Bluewave Crowdsource volunteer coordinator, events & newsletter boss, and tech stuffs magician Anne Leigh on Twitter:

@For_Cripes_Sake

 

 

Follow Bluewave Crowdsource web developer and resident nerd Lynn Stahl on Twitter:

@jesusbuddy7

 

 

Follow Bluewave Crowdsource campaign liaison, organizer of stuff, and gladiator Lena Eisen:

@lena_eisen

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Call Your Senators and Demand They Enforce the McConnell Standard for Nominating Supreme Court Justices

Call your Senators and demand that they enforce the McConnell Standard for nominating Supreme Court Justices.

 

You have no doubt heard the news about Justice Anthony Kennedy’s retirement from the Supreme Court of the United States (SCOTUS).

 

You are no doubt unsurprised that Team Trump and the GOP-controlled Congress have stated intentions to push the SCOTUS nomination through in the fall.

 

You are no doubt aware of why this is an utterly bullshit move. Senator Mitch McConnell refused to allow a hearing on the nomination of Merrick Garland to fill the seat left open by the February 2016 death of Antonin Scalia. McConnell made the ridiculous claim that it was improper to consider a nomination in an election year.

 

McConnell successfully kept the seat open until well after the election. The new administration chose a ridiculously hard-right judge who has wreaked more than his share of havoc already.

 

We can fight this, and we will fight this.

 

Step one is calling your Senators (just your Senators, because only Senators hear and vote on SCOTUS nominations) and demanding that McConnell follow the precedent that he himself set out.

 

If nominating Merrick Garland 237 days before an election was too close for McConnell’s comfort, we should certainly hold off considering a replacement for Justice Kennedy, who announced his retirement just 132 days before the 2018 elections.

 

Also consider that since the first day of his term of office, polls have shown that Trump has never had positive public approval numbers–never, not once, not even for one lousy day.

 

Add to this the fact that Trump is actively under investigation by Special Counsel Robert Mueller and could well be charged with obstruction of justice.

 

The case for waiting now is far, far stronger than the case for waiting in 2016.

 

And! You will no doubt be entirely unsurprised to learn that Celeste Pewter (follow her on Twitter at @Celeste_Pewter) has a script for this (scroll down to learn more ways to support her work):

 

 

Democratic Senator Dianne Feinstein has endorsed upholding the McConnell Standard:

http://thehill.com/homenews/394492-feinstein-senate-should-follow-mcconnell-standard-wait-to-vote-on-supreme-court

 

 

Here also are a few articles to get you up to speed on the counterarguments the

GOP is trying to push (spoiler alert! Their counterarguments are nonsensical crap):

 

 

http://www.politifact.com/truth-o-meter/article/2016/mar/17/context-biden-rule-supreme-court-nominations/

 

 

If you want to do more, look to the OTYCD post that happened to go up the

very day that Kennedy announced his retirement.

 

 

It’s about countering Trump’s strategy for the midterms by supporting vulnerable incumbent Democratic Senators.

 

If Democrats are to take control of the Senate–which will, admittedly, be tough–we need to defend all Senators who are up for re-election and we need to win at least two more seats besides.

 

Celeste Pewter was all over this ages ago, with The Road to 2018, which was created to defend the incumbent Senators who need it most.

 

She’s recommending an iteration of the Core Four strategy–pick at least one Democratic incumbent Senator and one Democratic challenger for a Senate seat, and devote yourself to them. Give them money. Volunteer. Canvass. Phone-bank. And recruit friends and family to do the same.

 

If you missed the OTYCD post for June 27, 2018, see it now:

 

https://onethingyoucando.com/2018/06/27/combat-trumps-2018-midterms-strategy-by-defending-vulnerable-democratic-senate-incumbents/

 

 

Subscribe to One Thing You Can Do by clicking the button on the upper right of the

page. And tell your friends about the blog!

How to support Celeste Pewter, author of the black-backgrounded script above:

In addition to following Pewter on Twitter (again, her handle is @Celeste_Pewter) you

can support her in other ways.

 

 

 

After you call your elected representatives on these two topics, tweet about the

experience using the #ICalledMyReps hashtag.

 

 

 

 

 

 

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Combat Trump’s 2018 Midterms Strategy By Defending Vulnerable Democratic Senate Incumbents

Fight back against Trump’s 2018 midterms strategy by defending vulnerable Democratic Senate incumbents.

 

On May 30, 2018, Buzzfeed published a piece on how Trump might approach the 2018 midterm elections.

 

It looks like he’s shying away from House of Representatives races and targeting sitting, vulnerable Democratic senators who are up for re-election in Trump-friendly states. From the article:

 

‘A source close to Trump involved in midterm planning said it’s clear Republicans are running very different campaigns in close House races versus Senate races, and Trump will be used accordingly. “It’s a base election in the Senate and a swing in the House,” the source said.’

 

Also from the article:

‘Earlier this month, Trump followed a similar outline of what is shaping up to be his 2018 stump speech during his rally in Indiana, where he called Democratic Sen. Joe Donnelly “sleeping Joe” and a “swamp person.” “You have to work every day between now and November to elect more Republicans so that we can continue to make America great again,” he told his supporters there, while praising Donnelly’s challenger, Mike Braun, as a “winner.”

And at an anti-abortion event last week, Trump spelled out the need for more Republicans in Congress in a way that would connect with the crowd. “So the story is, ’18 midterms — we need Republicans, and that will happen,” he said, going on to talk about failed GOP attempts to pass a 20-week abortion ban and the Democratic senators who have voted against it. “The United States is one of only seven countries in the world to allow elective abortions after 20 weeks, when unborn babies can truly feel the pain. Yet Democratic senators like Jon Tester, Heidi Heitkamp, Claire McCaskill, Debbie Stabenow all voted against the 20-week bill and in favor of late-term abortion.’

 

 

See the full Buzzfeed piece here:

https://www.buzzfeed.com/tariniparti/trump-campaign-senate-plan?utm_term=.ou9g4DQd8G#.rhXl9By1PZ

 

 

You can push back against Trump by supporting vulnerable Democratic senators who are seeking re-election.

 

The best resource for this, by far, is The Road to 2018, an organization that our friend Celeste Pewter is heavily involved in.

 

The Road to 2018 was created to help precisely those senators who Trump and the GOP is targeting.

 

 

See its website here:

https://www.roadto2018.com

 

If you’ve been following Celeste on Twitter–and you are, aren’t you? She’s at @Celeste_Pewter–you’ve seen her tweets about The Road to 2018 and about Democratic senators you can support.

 

To be dead clear here–flipping the Senate blue in 2018 will be tough, tougher than flipping the House. Much of this is down to math. About a dozen Democratic incumbents are vulnerable, as opposed to eight Republican incumbents.

 

In order to flip the Senate, the Democrats need to hold all their seats and gain two. (The two Independents in the Senate, Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Angus King of Maine, tend to caucus with the Democrats. King is up for re-election in 2018.)

 

Flipping the Senate will not insure that Trump can be successfully impeached. A minimum of 67 senators would have to vote in favor, and given the prevailing tribalism, we couldn’t count on Republican senators to do the right thing.

 

This is not about impeachment. This is about hampering Trump’s ability to push his noxious agenda.

 

If the Senate goes Democratic, Trump would find it a lot harder to push through lousy and unqualified nominees across the board, judicial and otherwise.

 

He’d also have to change his strategy if he wants to get any legislation passed.

 

Fighting for these senators is worth doing.

 

So! Question. Are you using the Core Four strategy yet? If not, learn about it here:

https://onethingyoucando.com/2018/04/08/choose-your-core-four-for-2018/

 

Then consult the Road to 2018 and figure out which Democratic senators you can support with time, money, and effort.

 

Those vulnerable senators are:

 

Bill Nelson of Florida

Joe Donnelly of Indiana

Debbie Stabenow of Michigan

Claire McCaskill of Missouri

Angus King, Independent of Maine

Jon Tester of Montana

Heidi Heitkamp of North Dakota

Sherrod Brown of Ohio

Bob Casey of Pennsylvania

Tim Kaine of Virginia

Joe Manchin of West Virginia

Tammy Baldwin of Wyoming

 

 

If one of these senators is from your state, go all-in for that person.

 

If not, and certainly if you’re from one of the states that doesn’t have any senators up for re-election this year, pick at least one of these senators to support.

 

 

See the website for The Road to 2018:

http://www.roadto2018.com

 

 

See its Senators page:

http://www.roadto2018.com/senators.html

 

 

Subscribe to One Thing You Can Do by clicking the button on the upper right of the page or checking the About & Subscribe page. And tell your friends about the blog!

 

 

See the Road to 2018 team:

http://www.roadto2018.com/about-us.html

 

 

Volunteer for The Road to 2018:

http://www.roadto2018.com/contact.html

 

 

Keep that list of Democratic Senators in mind when choosing your Core Four for 2018:

https://onethingyoucando.com/2017/12/24/choose-your-core-four-for-2018/

 

 

Like it on Facebook:

https://www.facebook.com/TheRoadto2018/

 

 

Follow it on Twitter:

@Roadto18

 

 

Follow Celeste Pewter on Twitter, who is involved with The Road to 2018 and is seemingly on top of EVERYTHING political that the Resistance cares about, as it happens:

@Celeste_Pewter

 

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Support Dr. Hans Keirstead, Who’s Aiming for Dana Rohrabacher’s California House Seat (Update, June 24, 2018)

This OTYCD entry originally posted in July 2017.

 

Update, June 24, 2018: More than two weeks after the June 5, 2018 primary, California’s 48th District finished its count. It was clear pretty soon after the election that Keirstead or Harley Rouda would get the second slot in the top-two primary, it was just a matter of who. In the end, Rouda bested Keirstead by just 126 votes.

We thank Keirstead for running and we hope he’ll run for public office again in the future.

 

Support Dr. Hans Keirstead, a stem cell researcher, entrepreneur, and former professor who is aiming to unseat House Republican Dana Rohrabacher.

 

Canadian-born Keirstead, 50, founded California Stem Cell Inc. and sold it for $100 million in 2014. He is now CEO of Aivita Biomedical. He taught at the University of California, Irvine for 14 years, and has raised well over $100 million in grants and donations in his various scientific jobs. He becomes the fifth Democrat hoping to push out Rohrabacher, who has served as a California house rep for for almost 30 years.

 

Keirstead supports the ACA, and he specifically supports it over a single-payer system. He says he does not intend to use his own money to campaign for the house seat.

 

Under his Why I’m Running essay on his campaign site, he says:

“I’ve dedicated my life to using medical science to save and improve lives — but in Congress, medicine and science have been pushed to the side in favor of partisan political games. Politicians like Dana Rohrabacher have used the broken system for their own gain for far too long. We’re not his priority and we need someone new.

 

I believe our elected leaders should rely on facts to guide policy. I’m not daunted by large obstacles. I’ve launched and managed companies, developed treatments for previously un-treatable diseases and been held accountable for my actions. We need more of that to change Washington and I intend to use Congress as a platform to improve even more lives.”

 

House Rep Dana Rohrbacher is viewed as vulnerable for his pro-Russia stance, and because his district is showing signs of turning Democrat blue. In the 2016 election, Hillary Clinton won the district by less than two points, becoming the first Democratic presidential candidate to win Orange County in 80 years. Rohrbacher also supports the AHCA and questions whether human activity is causing climate change. This is galling on its face, but it’s made worse by the fact that he sits on the House Committee on Science and Technology.

 

 

Visit Keirstead’s campaign website:

http://hansforca.com/home/

 

 

Read his website biography:

http://hansforca.com/about-dr-keirstead/

 

 

Consider Keirstead for your Core Four for 2018:

https://onethingyoucando.com/2017/12/24/choose-your-core-four-for-2018/

 

 

Subscribe to One Thing You Can Do by clicking the button on the upper right of the page. And tell your friends about the blog!

 

 

Read his full Why I’m Running statement:

http://hansforca.com/why-im-running/

 

 

Read more about Keirstead and his campaign for the House of Representatives:

http://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/337945-stem-cell-scientist-joins-crowded-field-to-unseat-vulnerable-california

http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-pol-ca-house-challenger-20170615-story.html

http://www.ocregister.com/2017/06/15/stem-cell-pioneer-to-challenge-rep-dana-rohrabacher/

http://www.orangecoast.com/features/stem-cell-rock-star/

 

 

Follow Dr. Keirstead on Twitter:

@drhanskeirstead

 

 

Donate to his campaign:

https://secure.actblue.com/donate/keirstead_video

 

 

Don’t believe Dana Rohrbacher is on the House Committee on Science and Technology? Here’s the proof:

https://rohrabacher.house.gov/legislation/committees-and-caucuses

 

 

Here’s a Politico story about Rohrbacher’s interest in Russia, titled Putin’s Favorite Congressman:

http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/putin-congress-rohrabacher-trump-231775

 

 

And here’s a New York Times story about how the FBI warned Rohrbacher in 2012 that Russian spies were trying to recruit him:

 

Special thanks to 314 Action, where we first learned about Keirstead’s campaign. 314 Action is a nonprofit devoted to electing more people with STEM backgrounds to high office.

Follow it on Twitter: @314Action

Choose Your Core Four · Elections

Support Democrat Marge Doyle, Who Is Running for a House Seat in California’s 8th District (Update June 23, 2018)

Update, June 23, 2018: Doyle came third in the top-two primary held on June 5, 2018. We thank Doyle for running and we hope she’ll run for office again in the future.

 

Support Democrat and registered nurse (RN) Marge Doyle, who is running for a House of Representatives seat in California’s 8th District in 2018. Put Marge in charge!

 

Normally around this point in the post we’d give the candidate’s biography, but instead, we’re going to quote a section from a Q&A interview Doyle did with Tech Solidarity, because it’s damn near impossible to compete with the radiant authenticity of her own words:

 

“Q: What was the moment that made you decide that something had to change, and that you needed to run for Congress?

Doyle: After the November election, I realized that health care would be under threat. As a nurse since I was 22 years old, and working within health care and health care leadership, I thought there was an opportunity for me to work with my representative [incumbent Republican House Representative Paul Cook], and maybe make a change to help the ACA work better. So I prepared a plan that spoke to that, and made an appointment with our representative, and gave him that plan.

It wasn’t just a plan to fix the parts that are problematic, but it was also a plan of how to pay for that. It wasn’t willy-nilly, pie in the sky; I have almost 40 years of healthcare management experience. I kind of know this stuff.

Q: So you wrote ‘Margecare’!

Exactly! I wrote ways to fix our current system, because it needs to be fixed. And I gave it to him. I met with him, I showed him what I suggested, he nodded and sent me on my way. I was a little disappointed that I didn’t get any buy-in, but the night before the bill was supposed to go to Congress, his staff called me and asked me to analyze the bill. I thought, ‘Wow, maybe that really did do some good.’

So I analyzed the bill point by point by point. This was prior to the CBO analysis, and the conclusion was that it didn’t cover more people, and didn’t save any money. And therefore I recommended that he vote ‘no’.

He voted ‘yes’.

I saw him in the area a few weeks later, and I said, ‘you know, I’m still mad at you about your vote.’ And he said ‘it doesn’t matter. The Senate will fix it.’

It was at that point that I realized, if he doesn’t think that his vote matters, he must be replaced. Because his vote would have taken away health care for a hundred thousand people in this district. And that matters. That matters a lot.

I was supporting my friend and her candidacy to replace him, because I knew she supported the kinds of things I was talking about, and she dropped out for family reasons. I couldn’t just let him have this district. I couldn’t let him not care about the hundred thousand people whose lives would be at risk. I couldn’t let him, who flip-flopped on Cadiz, take Cadiz and ruin our desert [scroll down for a link that explains this reference]. I just couldn’t do it.

So that’s why I’m running.”

 

Doyle faces an uphill battle for California’s 8th District. Cook, the three-term Republican incumbent, won in 2016 with two-thirds of the vote.

 

Also, California relies on a Top-two primary system, in which the top two vote-getters advance to the general election. Cook will almost certainly win one of those slots. Doyle must defeat Democrat Ronald O’Donnell and Republican Tim Donnelly for the other. The primary will take place on June 5, 2018.

 

Subscribe to One Thing You Can Do by clicking the button on the upper right of the page. And tell your friends about the blog!

 

See Doyle’s campaign website:

https://margedoyleforcongress.com

 

 

See her Meet Marge page:

https://margedoyleforcongress.com/#meet-marge

 

 

See her Issues page:

https://margedoyleforcongress.com/platform/

 

 

Choose Doyle for your Core Four:

https://onethingyoucando.com/2017/12/24/choose-your-core-four-for-2018/

 

 

Donate to Doyle’s campaign:

https://secure.actblue.com/donate/marge-doyle-for-congress-1

 

 

Like her on Facebook:

https://www.facebook.com/Marge4Congress/

 

 

Follow her on Twitter:

@Marge4Congress

 

 

 

Read a November 2017 interview that Tech Solidarity did with Doyle, from which we quoted above:

https://techsolidarity.org/resources/marge_doyle_interview.html

 

 

See an August 2017 article that incumbent Republican California House Rep Paul Cook wrote about the Cadiz water project, which Doyle references in the quote:

https://www.dailynews.com/2017/08/29/californians-should-support-the-cadiz-water-project-tony-cardenas-and-paul-cook/